The bitterly factious 2016 U.S. presidential election campaign was the culmination of several trends that, taken together, constitute a syndrome of chronic ailments in the body politic. Ironically, these destructive trends have accelerated just as science has rapidly improved our understanding of them and their underlying causes. But mere understanding is not sufficient to repair our politics.
When people share updates with their friends on Facebook they have varying expectations for the feedback they will receive. In this study, we quantitatively examine the factors contributing to feedback expectations and the potential outcomes of expectation fulfillment.
Feedback expectations; Computer-mediated communication; Social Media; Facebook; Information Sharing
This study reports the results of a multiyear program to predict direct executive elections in a variety of countries from globally pooled data. We developed prediction models by means of an election data set covering 86 countries and more than 500 elections, and a separate data set with extensive polling data from 146 election rounds. We also participated in two live forecasting experiments.
Donald Trump has become well known for his shoot-from-the-hip tweeting style. Lots of insults, lots of rants and lots of energy. Data scientists who have examined all of Trump's tweets over time found he has some very clear Twitter strategies and tactics that, in many ways, have been working.